Mental Availability in action

Millionaire Raffle Campaign

How a small change led to 27:1 ROI and sold so many tickets, we had to pull the campaign.

\ National Lottery Ireland
\ 2019–2021
Millionaire Raffle TV campaign - gifting scene

Using Mental Availability to find growth

When I was in The National Lottery in Ireland, we had huge market penetration and very high buying frequency. Like many FMCG brands, we had a mix of heavy and light buyers.

But there were growth opportunities. There were buying situations where we could win more. Gifting was one. Our research showed that we turn up for a certain type of gift. Specifically, when people have already decided to get a card, they think: “What would be a nice gift to put into the card?”

That's a Category Entry Point. A CEP.

52%
of adults thought of a lottery product as a gift in a card
That's a decent number, but we're a big brand and half our audience didn't think of us.

What are Category Entry Points?

Category Entry Points are the specific cues that trigger people to think about your category, and hopefully your brand. Not the broad category. They are more precise. More directional. Which is why I like them.

We worked with RedC, a top research agency, to identify our CEPs and focus our marketing efforts to grow them.

Category Entry Points: Why, When, Where, Who, What, How

“Gift to put in a card” was a useful CEP. Specific enough to win. But broad enough to generate decent sales.


So we made a new campaign

The previous ads were good. Funny, typical Lottery, everyday charm, good acting. But they weren't about gifting. They were awareness plays. Good, but not linked to the gifting CEP we'd uncovered in our research.

Before: awareness play

In the new campaign, every frame links the brand to the gifting occasion. Full credit to the wonderful Damien O'Donnell, the most talented film director I know. He even manages to get “tickets are limited” into the script without it feeling forced.

After: linked to gifting CEP

The results

The results were both immediate and long lasting. For the first year in many, we sold out all tickets. So much so, we had to pull the advertising.

27:1
Short term ROI
Up from 18.6:1 in 2019
15%
Digital sales
Up from 9% in 2019
500k
Tickets sold out
By 24th December
€0€500k€1m€1.5m€2m€2.5m151015202530€2.5m2016–1820192020
Daily ticket sales by year, December.

It wasn't a fluke. It continued to sell out every year. The campaign also won a bunch of effectiveness awards. When I left, my only parting advice was not to change this campaign until there's evidence it is no longer working.

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